Chapter 12 of 12

Where the Experts Disagree

5 min read1 sections

Menopause research has a lot of catching up to do, and perimenopause even more so. Many of the questions in this guide still don't have firm answers.

So it's no surprise that experts don't agree on everything yet. Rather than hide the debates, we've gathered them here on one page, so you can see both sides and discuss them with your doctor.

23 topics

Defining menopause

One view

Standard: 12 months without a period (AHA, STRAW, WHO).

Another view

Doesn't fit women without periods, such as after hysterectomy or with an IUD; NICE allows diagnosis from age and symptoms in women over 45, including those without a uterus (NICE (opens in a new tab)).

Length of perimenopause

One view

About 8.5 years on average when it starts before 45, about 4.4 years when it starts at 51 or later (SWAN, via University of Michigan (opens in a new tab)).

Another view

Late transition of about 1 to 3 years, early transition variable (STRAW, in AHA statement).

Hormone swings

One view

Big estrogen spikes and drops are common as FSH rises (Hale et al., 2009 (opens in a new tab)).

Another view

Only some women show surges; about 29% have a fairly flat pattern (AHA).

Sleep

One view

Sleep disruption is a key symptom (Dr Mosconi).

Another view

Only about 15% show clearly worsening sleep in perimenopause; the rest is mostly ageing (AHA).

Mood by stage

One view

Highest bother in early perimenopause; stage still explains depression after accounting for age (2024 study).

Another view

Anxiety highest in late perimenopause; some studies find depression highest after menopause (other studies cited).

Age vs hormones in the brain

One view

Brain energy decline is tied to menopause, not age (Dr Mosconi).

Another view

Age explains differences in stress and anxiety (2024 study); brain energy use declines with ageing generally (brain review).

Treating perimenopausal depression

One view

Hormone therapy may lower the chance of new depressive symptoms in early perimenopause (one small trial, Gordon et al., 2018 (opens in a new tab)).

Another view

Estrogen isn't a standard depression treatment; antidepressants and talking therapy remain the proven options, though estrogen may help them work better (guidelines summary (opens in a new tab)); long-term benefits still uncertain (2024 study).

Hormone therapy and dementia

One view

Some clinicians believe early use may help protect the brain; research is ongoing (Dr Mosconi).

Another view

Not recommended to prevent dementia (USPSTF (opens in a new tab)); greater absolute dementia risk if started after 60 or 10+ years past menopause (Menopause Society (opens in a new tab)).

Hormone therapy and lifespan

One view

Started within 10 years of menopause, randomised studies show lower death rates from any cause (FDA (opens in a new tab), 2026; WHI pooled data).

Another view

Unlikely to increase or decrease overall life expectancy (NICE draft (opens in a new tab), 2023).

Hormone therapy for heart prevention

One view

Started early, it may lower heart disease and death (trial reviews in the AHA statement).

Another view

AHA 2011 and 2014 guidelines advised against using it specifically for heart or stroke prevention, and the USPSTF (opens in a new tab) recommends against it for preventing chronic disease.

Size of breast cancer risk

One view

About 5 to 20 extra cases per 1,000 women after 5 years, depending on type (MHRA (opens in a new tab), from a 2019 Lancet analysis).

Another view

Smaller: fewer than 1 extra case per 1,000 a year for women in their 50s on short-term combined therapy; estrogen-only risk marginal (BMJ 2020, via NIHR (opens in a new tab)). Some clinicians argue estrogen itself doesn't cause breast cancer (see the treatment chapter).

Vaginal estrogen after breast cancer

One view

Safe for virtually all women, including survivors (the view of some clinicians, such as US menopause specialist Dr Mary Claire Haver).

Another view

Appears safe for select survivors whose symptoms haven't responded to non-hormonal treatment (Menopause Society (opens in a new tab)).

The FDA's 2025–26 label change

One view

Removing boxed warnings gives women accurate, less fear-driven information (FDA (opens in a new tab)).

Another view

The FDA bypassed its usual public review process, and debate continues (AP (opens in a new tab)).

Stopping hormone therapy

One view

Neutral heart results after stopping (WHI).

Another view

Higher heart and stroke deaths in the first year after stopping (Finnish study).

Statins in women

One view

Older analyses found clearer benefit for women who already have heart disease than for prevention (AHA).

Another view

The largest analysis found similar benefit in women and men, including at low risk (CTT, Lancet 2015 (opens in a new tab)); guidelines recommend statins first-line regardless of sex (AHA).

When to stop contraception

One view

12 months without a period (WHO (opens in a new tab)).

Another view

2 years if your last period was before 50, 1 year if after, or at 55 (UK guidance (opens in a new tab)).

Plant estrogens and hot flashes

One view

A phytoestrogen-rich Mediterranean diet is linked to fewer hot flashes (Dr Mosconi).

Another view

The Menopause Society doesn't recommend soy or other supplements for hot flashes (2023 statement (opens in a new tab)). Note: one concerns whole diets, the other supplements.

Contraception and menopause timing

One view

Past pill use was linked to a later menopause in SWAN (Gold et al., 2013 (opens in a new tab)).

Another view

Evidence not conclusive (AHA).

Alcohol and menopause timing

One view

Research is limited, and alcohol has well-known health downsides.

Another view

Light to moderate drinking possibly linked to a slightly later menopause, but the effect is small (AHA).

Ethnicity and timing

One view

Some studies report differences between ethnic groups (AHA).

Another view

In SWAN, no difference once other factors were accounted for (Gold et al., 2013 (opens in a new tab)); differences may reflect socioeconomic factors (AHA).

Protein targets

One view

About 1.0 to 1.2 g per kg of body weight for older adults, more if active or ill (PROT-AGE (opens in a new tab)).

Another view

Up to 1 g per pound of body weight (about 2.2 g per kg), promoted by some fitness voices.

Intermittent fasting

One view

Protective for the brain in animal studies (brain review).

Another view

In people, no better than ordinary calorie cutting for weight loss (BMJ, 2025 (opens in a new tab)); evidence in menopause unclear.

Weighted vests and bone

One view

A small study found a vest plus jumping exercises helped stop hip bone loss.

Another view

A larger trial found vests didn't prevent bone loss during weight loss (Healio, 2026 (opens in a new tab)).

A note on the sources#

Not all evidence carries the same weight, so it helps to know where each piece comes from:

  • Interviews and talks by clinicians, including two podcast interviews with US menopause specialist Dr Mary Claire Haver, were used as background. Where a statement rests on one clinician's opinion rather than published evidence, this guide names them. Dr Haver has a commercial interest in menopause supplements.
  • Dr Mosconi's points come from a short public talk summarising her team's research, which she says still needs confirming.
  • The probiotic trial was small, and some authors have ties to a probiotic company.
  • The brain metabolism review is mostly based on animal research and isn't specific to menopause.
  • The elinzanetant trials were funded by the drug's manufacturer.